November 1st, 2025 | Grant Johnson

Canada Is In Serious Trouble And Elections Can't Fix It

Electing Pierre Poilievre won't mend the gaping cracks.

It boggles my mind that Canadians think Mark Carney is doing great and that everything that’s wrong with Canada is due to Trump. Even people on our side point out obvious things like Canada’s lost economic decade from 2015 to 2025. They talk about dropping trade barriers between provinces or nibbling at Canada’s high tax rates. They talk in exasperated tones about how “we need to build a pipeline” and “cut red tape”! 

I shake my head at these naive takes because they reveal how ignorant so many people, conservatives or otherwise, truly are about how late the hour is. People keep going around in circles with these Reform Party solutions that are long past their expiration date.

Let’s be clear, Canada is in serious trouble. Pierre Poilievre taking the reins isn’t going to solve anything. We are facing massive changes in the next ten years, and these problems have been looming on the horizon for decades.

Here are four problems nobody seems to understand.

1. Demographics

Canadians stopped having enough children to maintain population growth in 1972. For the people still not up to speed on the fertility crisis, couples must have 2.1 children each, on average, in order to maintain population stability. One child for the mother, one for the father. (The 0.1 part makes up for children who don’t make it to adulthood) This ensures that the next generation is at least equal in size to the last.

In 1972, Canada went BELOW the replacement rate of 2.1 and never returned.

Nobody cared for about fifteen years, but then the math began to show. People began to realize that total population growth was quickly heading to zero. This was a problem since our entire welfare state, which was put into place after World War 2, required an ever-growing population in order to maintain our Ponzi-scheme entitlement programs.

In 1990, Brian Mulroney cranked immigration way up to 250,000 people a year in order to provide cheap labour and stem the decline of our population. In 1990, Canada’s fertility rate was about 1.7 per couple. With 250,000 immigrants a year flooding into Canada, this solved the problem… temporarily. 

Flash forward to today.

In 2025, our fertility rate has fallen to 1.25 babies per couple. This is a severe deficit. This is an existential civilizational collapse level of fertility. However, Immigration has been high since 1990 which has papered over the problem. Now there's a new problem.

In 1990, the average age of an immigrant was about 31. Today, those 250,000 immigrants who were brought into Canada in 1990 are now 66 years old on average. Therefore, the 250,000 immigrants that we’re bringing in today are simply PAYING FOR THE ENTITLEMENTS of the 250,000 that came into the country in 1990. This is why our immigration rate was CRANKED to INSANE levels, way above 250,000 in 2022. 

The Century Initiative is a Liberal-friendly think tank that wants Canada to have a population of 100 million people by 2100. The goal is to make Canada a GREAT country in the power sense, but the unstated goal is to provide infinitely cheap labour for shitty Canadian corporations that can’t compete on the world stage otherwise and also get Liberal votes from grateful newcomers. Combine this ideology with Canada’s death spiral reality, and you’re getting the Great Replacement Theory masterplan unfolding.

Either we’re flooded with immigrants or our Ponzi-scheme welfare state… ie. Canada itself collapses.

This isn’t a problem that can be solved with an election.

2. Canada’s debt

When Canada was facing a debt crisis back in 1995, we were a country with an average age of 33. Today, the average Canadian is well over 40. The peak of the Baby Boomers is now 66 years old. As mentioned above, our welfare state is not going to function with an upside-down population pyramid.

As a result, our national, provincial, corporate and personal debt is simply put: catastrophic. It is far worse today than it was in 1995 when the Economist magazine, that globalist rag that WEF-type elites like to pass off as “news”, called Canada an honorary third-world country.

We don’t have the runway that we had in 1995 to deal with the catastrophic levels of debt that we have today. Now that the economy is basically in a perpetual recession, and our entitlement demands from the state are ever-growing, the debt is going to crush us in a way that we avoided in 1995. 

Right now we are able to absorb it, but within the next few years we’re going to get forever crushed by it. It’s not going to stop. Canadian voters won’t tolerate severe austerity anymore…especially Boomers who have a scorched Earth attitude towards voting for a comfortable couch to sit on. 

Our debt will destroy us this time.

3. The American Empire is ending

After World War 2, the United States of America was at its absolute peak. Every other world power was either in ruins or nuked or backwards and shitty. The U.S.A. was the only game left in town.

The American dollar became the world reserve currency and the remainder of the world adjusted to the new normal over the course of the next thirty years. 

Nixon decoupled the U.S. dollar from gold in 1971, and the U.S dollar became a fiat reserve currency for everyone in the world. At this time, the world was quickly developing, and those countries that were in ruins or nuked or backwards and shitty were very much less so. Even Communist hellholes like China adjusted course in the 70’s and began growing while old 20th-century boogey men like the Soviet Union began to collapse. 

America today is facing enormous challenges… and challengers. Since the 1970’s the fiat currency has faltered. The U.S. debt has exploded. The global economy is booming. All of this portends poorly for the Global American Empire. 

Make no mistake, America is still the most important country in the world, and their might is still supreme, but the reality is that America is facing a future not unlike Great Britain in 1920. It is still the most powerful country/empire in the world… technically…but the times are obviously changing fast.

What does this mean for Canada?

The United States has adopted an America First policy that is going to transcend Trump. Extending all this globalist grace to a foreign country like Canada is not going to continue. Why should Ontario make cars at the expense of the United States? I get that corporations might like the cheap labour and low dollar, but when Free Trade has spent 30 years proving Ross Perot correct, Americans are rightly pissed and asking (and voting) for change.

Canada’s special relationship that came into full effect between 1988 and 1993 when Free Trade was adopted, is coming to an end. America’s decline plays a large role in this. They are going to pull back from the empire that they’ve been accustomed to and focus more on domestic needs and policies. This is what America was originally founded on, and if America is to continue as a country, these policies will need to be increased.

This will incentivize international companies to move everything out of Canada and directly into the United States. The reality is that the only reason any international company wanted to do business in Canada in the first place is due to our unrestricted access to American markets. Without that, we are worthless. 

Canadian GDP is about 25% exports, with about 80% of those exports going to the United States. Much of our exports to the States are going to be replaced by others or done in-house by Americans themselves. We’re probably looking at a reduction in our standard of living by at least 10% over the next decade due to the export issue alone.

Couple that with the drying up of other foreign investment and we are in for a permanent recession that will last for years…maybe decades. 

The last component of this is that as America declines, they might look to bolster their standing by incorporating Canada into their border as a 51st state, as Trump has threatened/joked/offered for many months now. As time rolls on, this idea might become more realistic as Canadian decline becomes entrenched and American consolidation becomes more robust. 

America’s fiat reserve currency probably won’t last, and in the short term, the tariffs and America First policy will work…but in the long term…relative American decline is a fact. Absorbing Canada would ensure American supremacy for the next 100 years, and when you factor all of these economic issues together, this might be the inevitable conclusion.

Even if this doesn’t happen, the hardships coming Canada’s way are inevitable at this point so plan accordingly. A Conservative Party election win isn’t going to change any of this.

4. Canadian inertia

Canadians are easily propagandized retards. 

I spent years hoping that Canadians would come around to our way of thinking, but it’s just impossible. The culture of Canada is severely retarded and it’s not going to change. I know that’s blackpilled thinking, but if you’re a young reader, I can assure you that everything has been tried at this point.

I was born in the 70s and I was a child during Pierre Trudeau’s final reign of terror in the early 1980s. I saw the optimistic wave of Brian Mulroney in 1984, only to see it be extinguished by 1986 during the whole CF-18 debacle. The Reform Party began with the hopes of “reforming” Canada back when that may have been possible. As the late great Z-Man used to say, “Any institution needing reform is an institution that has failed and shouldn’t be reformed”. This has proven true for Canada in hindsight. 

Preston Manning failed. Stockwell Day failed after him. I’m sorry to say, but Stephen Harper proved to be a speed bump in the Liberal hegemonic monolith of Canadian culture, and he too failed to achieve anything other than a respectable ten-year interruption to where we are now.

Canada is going to Canada hard… and there’s nothing we as conservatives can do about it.

Things are getting worse, and tards across the country blame Trump. There’s not going to be a “waking up” moment in Canada any more than there was a “waking up” moment in Venezuela. The Communists gained power and then stayed in power. Canada is just a soft version of that. 

I’m resigned to writing for the converted at this point. It’s still possible to succeed in this country if you stick to basic fundamental principles like working hard and flying under the radar, but you also have to be contrary and adopt behaviours that are not like everybody else. 

Staying out of debt and investing in things that are not Canadian is a good first start. Acknowledging that Canada is a lost cause is another step in the right direction. Don’t waste your time or energy trying to save a country that doesn’t want saving. Be smart. Be savvy. Adjust accordingly. Succeed despite the nation of tards that surround you.

Mark Carney’s budget is going to deliver more of the same decline and inertia that we’ve experienced from Liberals over the past ten years. He’s all talk and process without any decent results. Adding crazy debt is only going to make things worse. WEF and Woke bankers running our country is the final nail in the coffin of Canada.

Meanwhile, the ELbOwS uP! crowd will cheer him along, happily tarding as they go.