January 1st, 2025 | RYAN TYLER

You Don't Realize How Doomed Canada Is 

The real estate market, propped up by immigration, is all that holds Canada together.
Canada does not have an economy. We have one of the largest land masses in the world, but we have catastrophic levels of productivity. With only 40 million people, we no longer have enough labour to service our national debt. Canada's national debt is nearing two trillion and we now pay more per capita to service the interest payments than what is sustainable. This explains every political party's obsession with mass immigration. It's a quick fix for what has been a decades-long spiral into oblivion. However, as the cost of housing continues to rise, immigration will cease to remain a viable solution.
Many immigrants that came to Canada a decade ago are leaving. Immigrants looking to move here are realizing it is no longer affordable. At the moment, half of our new arrivals are rather wealthy, while the other half have absolutely no skills or education. Two decades ago, poor immigrants fought tooth-and-nail to get here. Over time, they built a better life by working and contributing to Canada's GDP. Today, many of our new arrivals are wealthy and looking to start businesses and buy revenue properties. Most of them are contributing to our economy, but not in ways that have made Canada's economy more sustainable.
Many of the refugees and low-income migrants are quickly realizing they don't have the skills or eduction to get a job outside the basic service industry. They're stuck serving coffee at Tim Horton's while their rent and grocery bills continue to climb. As we know, wages in the entry-level service industry aren't rising with the costs of living. The country we had 20 years ago is gone. Sadly, many of the low-income migrants can't even afford plane tickets to return home.
Immigration has not increased productivity or diversified our economy. The idea was that flooding the country with millions more people would keep Canada from plummetting into a recession. In some ways, it has—but it hasn't solved the problems that got us here. Immigration has acted as a temporary crutch to save Canada's crumbling economy, but it has dramatically increased demands for housing, food, and health care. As a result, too much immigration has resulted in a drastic collapse in affordability—which will eventually result in a collapse in immigration.
Immigration merely delayed the inevitable recession waiting at our doorstep.
At the moment, Canada's GDP is being propped up by real estate. Real estate is being propped up by immigration. This is what many Canadians don't realize, but it's the stark reality every party leader and qualified economist is accutely aware of.
When immigration stops, the housing bubble finally pops. Even a significant slowdown in our immigration rates could cause a collapse in real estate—which, in turn, would roll our national GDP into the negative. Canadians simply aren't producing anything anymore. The energy sector is no longer building pipelines, manufacturing has been exported to other countries, and inflation is eating away at consumer spending. All of this is amounting to one of the most disastrous outcomes in Canadian history.

We Can't Afford Stimulus

The worst part of this is that Canada's national debt is so high, we couldn't afford to borrow the amount required to stimulate and rebuild our economy. Second, no corporation or foreign investors would invest in our ruined country, unless they were guaranteed returns. This leaves us in an unfortunate predicament.
Even if we could borrow the money, which would be in the hundreds of billions, the added debt would further diminish the confidence of private companies and investors, as well as increase the already heavy tax burden on inidividuals and businesses. Borrowing more money to kickstart the economy could backfire and make the situation worse if it fails. With the prospects of a lower credit score and an unmanageable debt burden, the likelihood of failure is higher than the likelihood of success.
If we begin selling the country out to multi-national corporations, it opens the door to geopolitical risks and a form of coprorate dictatorship. Think back to when the Hudson Bay Company owned Canada. If Corporation Y and Corporation Z promise to invest billions into rebuilding Canada, they're going to need a series of guarantees. Securing those guarantees means securing a particular kind of governing system. That could come with significant social and economic costs to taxpayers and citizens.
If we had a smaller national debt, this wouldn't be a problem. Had we continued developing our energy sector, rather than stifling it with carbon taxes and heavy regulations, none of this would be as catastrophic as it is. Had we not spent 40 years exporting our manufacturing, things would be dramatically different. However, what is done is done. We can't go back to convince Brian Mulroney, Jean Cretien and Stephen Harper to stop selling out Canada's future for short-term gains—which is exactly what they did by exporting our productivity and opening unbalanced trade agreements.
Justin Trudeau's destructive policies and spending cannot be undone.
Every prime minister since John Deifenbaker has done their part in securing Canada's incoming collapse. Neither Conservatives nor Liberals are innocent. Each party has done everything to avoid economic downturns and hardships on their watch. They specifically dodged the short-term pains that would have been required to build Canada into a self-sustaining empire—all so they could win re-election and maintain political hegemony. The long-term, destructive and self-serving results of party politics have never been more evident.
Just like it destroyed Britain, the Westminster system has systemically destroyed Canada. Unlike other democratic systems, Canada lacks the same checks and balances that prevent the never-ending spiral of bad policies we have seen from every past government. Most Canadians are totally unaware of the fact Justin Trudeau has stacked the Senate and Supreme Court without any public scrutiny or confirmation hearings, like what we see in the United States.

Multiple Outcomes

The sad reality is that Canada didn't have to end up here. We have an abundance of resources and we could have maintained a steady flow of immigration had we allowed our economy to diversify and become self-sustaining. We could have grown our own food, manufactured our own products, and exported our most valuable resources while relying on steady, manageable flows of skilled migrants for labour. Instead, we chose to inhibit our potential.
Now, here we are.
How we get out of this mess is anyone's guess, but there are probably a few outcomes to consider. In the event of a total economic collapse, which is highly probable at this point, a series of saviours could come to our rescue. One of them is the United States, another is Europe and some international banks. Another situation involves the complete dissolution of Canada as a country. However, the most promising solution is one that I have already discussed a few times.
Firstly, we have to consider bankruptcy. This option comes with a massive series of obligations that wouldn't be good for anyone. Our social services and entitlements would be up for serious reform, and austerity would become mandatory. Like selling out to corporate interests, this solution would come with decades of economic hardship and pain. In a bankruptcy, Canada would become beholden to foreign creditors and global banks—more so than we are now. Those creditors would need guarantees.
If we take bankruptcy off the table, we have the option of becoming a third-world country and begging for foreign aid. It would take a lot to get to this point, but we are heading there quicker than you could imagine. It would require a complete economic collapse that goes beyond a mere recession. It would need to be a long, sustained depression. We would need to see thousands of Canadian families trying to illegally cross the border into the United States in search of a better life.
Because Canada has an abundance of natural resources and a fairly educated workforce, it's more likely that foreign interests would attempt to take what is already here. To prevent countries like China and Russia from staking a claim on Canada's fallen dream, the United States would likely step in to maintain its own geopolitical security.
Before Canada could even get to the point of full economic ruin, it is highly probable that the United States would step in.
The geopolitical risks of forfeiting Canada's land, borders, and resources to other foreign entities would be far too high for any American president. We all have a pretty good idea of how a Trump Administration would handle a collapse of Canada's economy. It's likely that any Democrat or Republican administration would be quick to see the risks involved with Canada becoming a failed state.
Depending on the interests at play in the corridors of Washington, the United States would either opt to bail us out, or to annex us completely. Either scenario would amount to virtually the same thing. In each case, Canadians would be beholden to the United States, as even a bailout would come with stipulations and obligations.
How would Trump negotiate a Canadian bailout? We have some good guesses and none of them involve a deal without any strings attached. If Trump's way of doing things is successful and it catches on, future presidents will use his tactics.
A more globalist Democrat might consider a unilateral, cooperative approach with Europe and other allied countries. Even so, there would be strings attached. We have an abundance of oil and natural gas that would need to be exported to allies in need—at discounted prices. Not to mention the cobalt, lithium and various other minerals hiding across the country. Much of the wealth generated from our resources would end up leaving the country and going elsewhere.
Another situation, one that is very likely, would be the separation of provinces like Quebec and Alberta. As the economy takes a catastrophic nosedive, these two provinces could grow more frustrated with the current federal model and seek to carve out their own independence. This would end Canada as we know it, forcing British Columbia and other provinces to either join other separated provinces, or to find other pathways to survival. In such a case, Canada would be partitioned and broken into competing pieces. Some would become independent, some would merge, others may join the United States.
An alternative to all of this could be massive investments in robotics and aritificial intelligence. Rather than borrowing hundreds of billions to stimulate the same economy with the same old ideas, we could be better served by investing the same billions into a new kind of economy. If we are going to acquire more massive debt, we will need the guarantee of massive outputs and increased productivity. Automation guarantees labour and productivity, while cutting costs and human expenditures by billions, maybe even trillions of dollars.
We could start investing the billions now, before the impending catastrophy begins.
In fact, perhaps we could stave off the impending disaster by throwing billions into automation and technology right now. We are, after all, sending billions to other countries to fund wars. Why not throw those billions at AI and robotics development?
Imagine hydroponics farms across the country, automated and managed by aritificial intelligence, growing crops and vegetables year-round across the prairies. Existing farms could exchange human labour for automated labour, saving farmers millions. Safe, genetically engineered seeds could grow drought and pest resistant crops—saving millions more. Artificial intelligence could design equipment, seeds, harvesting techniques, and various other methods to improve farming. In time, food could become abundant, cheap, and entirely homegrown.
In two to three decades, Canada could have absolute food security.
We could develop better oil and gas extraction methods, while improving carbon capture. Over a couple decades, much of the extraction could become robotic and mostly automated, saving billions in human labour. The savings could be reinvested into anything from basic income to expanded social programs designed to mitigate the loss of human jobs.
These technologies have the potential to save every failing economy. As much as Canadians might fear artificial intelligence now, it could be what gives us the food, energy, and housing security we won't have in the face of economic ruin. However, we won't be anywhere near unlocking the potential in these technologies if we don't start investing now.
In the end, if the other scenarios come to fruition, our overlords may turn what's left of Canada into the very utopian dream I have described here. Or, they could turn it into a dystopian nightmare. The only way to have any say in our destiny is by acting now.
January 2025

more

RYAN TYLER

Two By-Elections, One Story

Cloverdale-Langley City and Lethbridge West show troubling results for the federal Liberals and the Alberta NDP.

THOMAS CARTER

It Is Weird To Be A Democrat

The days of Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter are long gone. Today, it is just plain weird to be a Democrat. 

POSTCANADIAN

Video: The End Of Canada

History is filled with stories about new beginnings. The end is often the start of something bigger and better.

DECEMBER 2024

more

NICK EDWARD

Tariffs, Lies, And Tantrums

Trump played the media and his targets like fools, knowing they would build a mountain out of his mole hill. 

December 1st, 2024 | Grant Johnson

Problems With Pierre Poilievre

Many conservatives think a revolution is coming.

These glaring problems suggest something different.

November 2024

more

RYAN TYLER

Gender Gaps Are Normal

But what if we applied some feminist logic to these less convenient gender gaps?

October 2024

more

September 2024

more

ALLAN RAY

How Putin Maintains His Grip

Russia's KGB strongman is popular and has managed to make his country a self-sustaining global force.

August 2024

more

DEVON KASH

The First Bitcoin President

Even Kamala Harris is rumoured to be ready to jump in bed with the crypto industry before September.